Houston Astros vs New York Mets | August 30, 2026

Final August 30, 2026 • Citi Field, Queens

Houston Astros 👑

69-68

New York Mets

61-76

MLB PREVIEW • August 30, 2026 Featured Matchup

MLB Matchup: Houston Astros (69-68) travels to play New York Mets (61-76) at Citi Field, Queens.

Houston Astros

Visiting Side

Record 69-68

New York Mets

Home Side

Record 61-76

Scoring

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	T	H	E
HOU	1	1	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	6	10	1
NEW	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	3	5	1

Team Matchup Analysis Tale of the Tape

Circled Game Matchup Projection

👑

71%

Houston Astros

29%

New York Mets

Projected Score HOU 4.8 - NEW 4.2

Data Confidence High

Data Used 5 of 6 categories

Houston Astros has a stronger overall season performance.
Houston Astros has a better road record than New York Mets's home record.
Houston Astros boasts a more productive batting lineup.

Houston Astros

STAT

New York Mets

50.4% Win % 44.9%

69-68 Overall Record 61-75

33-35 Home Record 32-38

36-33 Away Record 29-37

4.54 Runs / G 4.11

.241 Team BA .236

.725 Team OPS .694

4.64 Team ERA 4.08

1.36 WHIP 1.30

4571 AB (At Bats) 4570

618 R (Runs) 559

1101 H (Hits) 1079

199 2B (Doubles) 171

15 3B (Triples) 18

180 HR (Home Runs) 163

588 RBI (Runs Batted In) 535

1870 TB (Total Bases) 1775

454 BB (Walks) 431

1113 SO (Strikeouts) 1156

41 SB (Stolen Bases) 72

.241 AVG .236

.316 OBP .306

.409 SLG .388

.725 OPS .694

593.1 RC (Runs Created) 545.4

.088 BB/PA .085

0.41 BB/K 0.37

3.88 P/PA 3.93

394 XBH (Extra Base Hits) 352

5142 PA (Plate Appearances) 5095

25.4 AB/HR 28.0

4.64 ERA 4.08

1.36 WHIP 1.30

1206.1 IP (Innings) 1211.2

1091 H (Hits Allowed) 1088

622 ER (Earned Runs) 549

177 HR (HR Allowed) 149

555 BB (Walks Allowed) 488

1192 K (Strikeouts) 1219

8.9 K/9 (K Per 9) 9.1

68 W (Wins) 61

68 L (Losses) 75

41 SV (Saves) 25

0.987 FP (Fielding %) 0.983

60 E (Errors) 83

199 DP (Double Plays) 171

4676 TC (Total Chances) 4795

3619 PO (Putouts) 3635

997 A (Assists) 1077

34.4 RF (Range Factor) 35.0

Situational Context Environment

Venue Advantage Host New York Mets plays on familiar turf at Citi Field, Queens.

Conditions Conditions: Dome/Indoor

🎯

Circled Game Takeaway

Circled Game Analytical Outlook

Why Houston Astros Could Win

Houston Astros brings a Team ERA of 4.64 and Batting Average of .241 into the matchup.

Why New York Mets Could Win

New York Mets counters with a Team ERA of 4.08 and Batting Average of .236.

Deciding Factor

The deciding factor will be if New York Mets's superior pitching can dominate the matchup.

Game Details

Citi Field, Queens

Dome/Indoor

Attendance

25,227

Closing Odds

Line: NYM -123 | O/U: 9

Pitching & Leaders

Away Starter

Ethan Pecko

Home Starter

Zac Thornton

Consensus Pool

Circle Crowd Pick Meter

Closed Poll

Houston Astros (49.6%) New York Mets (50.4%)

Total Submissions: 42 circles

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