Cincinnati Reds vs Cleveland Guardians | May 16, 2026

Final May 16, 2026 • Progressive Field, Cleveland

Cincinnati Reds

24-22

👑 Cleveland Guardians

25-22

MLB PREVIEW • May 16, 2026 Featured Matchup

MLB Matchup: Cincinnati Reds (24-22) travels to play Cleveland Guardians (25-22) at Progressive Field, Cleveland.

Cincinnati Reds

Visiting Side

Record 24-22

Cleveland Guardians

Home Side

Record 25-22

Scoring

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	T	H	E
CIN	0	0	1	0	3	0	0	0	0	4	5	1
CLE	0	2	0	0	0	2	2	1	~	7	10	0

Team Matchup Analysis Tale of the Tape

Circled Game Matchup Projection

Cincinnati Reds

👑

92%

Cleveland Guardians

Projected Score CIN 3.3 - CLE 5.4

Data Confidence High

Data Used 5 of 6 categories

Cleveland Guardians has a stronger overall season performance.
Cleveland Guardians has a stronger home record.
Cleveland Guardians boasts a more productive batting lineup.

Cincinnati Reds

STAT

Cleveland Guardians

46.3% Win % 52.5%

75-87 Overall Record 85-77

38-43 Home Record 41-40

37-44 Away Record 44-37

4.11 Runs / G 5.00

.229 Team BA .240

.699 Team OPS .726

4.83 Team ERA 3.00

1.44 WHIP 1.09

5383 AB (At Bats) 200

666 R (Runs) 30

1231 H (Hits) 48

219 2B (Doubles) 9

16 3B (Triples) 3

213 HR (Home Runs) 5

635 RBI (Runs Batted In) 29

2121 TB (Total Bases) 78

557 BB (Walks) 28

1544 SO (Strikeouts) 47

112 SB (Stolen Bases) 4

.229 AVG .240

.305 OBP .336

.394 SLG .390

.699 OPS .726

662.1 RC (Runs Created) 26.9

.092 BB/PA .122

0.36 BB/K 0.60

3.95 P/PA 3.87

448 XBH (Extra Base Hits) 17

6048 PA (Plate Appearances) 230

25.3 AB/HR 40.0

4.83 ERA 3.00

1.44 WHIP 1.09

1433.1 IP (Innings) 54.0

1401 H (Hits Allowed) 36

770 ER (Earned Runs) 18

214 HR (HR Allowed) 3

668 BB (Walks Allowed) 23

1293 K (Strikeouts) 83

8.1 K/9 (K Per 9) 13.8

75 W (Wins) 4

87 L (Losses) 2

42 SV (Saves) 1

0.984 FP (Fielding %) 0.995

89 E (Errors) 1

219 DP (Double Plays) 14

5688 TC (Total Chances) 195

4300 PO (Putouts) 162

1299 A (Assists) 32

35.2 RF (Range Factor) 3.6

Situational Context Environment

Venue Advantage Host Cleveland Guardians plays on familiar turf at Progressive Field, Cleveland.

Conditions Conditions: Dome/Indoor

🎯

Circled Game Takeaway

Circled Game Analytical Outlook

Why Cincinnati Reds Could Win

Cincinnati Reds brings a Team ERA of 4.83 and Batting Average of .229 into the matchup.

Why Cleveland Guardians Could Win

Cleveland Guardians counters with a Team ERA of 3.00 and Batting Average of .240.

Deciding Factor

The deciding factor will be if Cleveland Guardians's superior pitching can dominate the matchup.

Game Details

Progressive Field, Cleveland

Dome/Indoor

Attendance

33,331

Closing Odds

Line: CLE -151 | O/U: 8.5

Pitching & Leaders

Away Starter

Chris Paddack

Home Starter

Joey Cantillo

Consensus Pool

Circle Crowd Pick Meter

Closed Poll

Cincinnati Reds (90.7%) Cleveland Guardians (9.3%)

Total Submissions: 0 circles

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