Houston Astros vs New York Mets | August 28, 2026

Final August 28, 2026 • Citi Field, Queens

Houston Astros 👑

68-67

New York Mets

60-75

MLB PREVIEW • August 28, 2026 Featured Matchup

MLB Matchup: Houston Astros (68-67) travels to play New York Mets (60-75) at Citi Field, Queens.

Houston Astros

Visiting Side

Record 68-67

New York Mets

Home Side

Record 60-75

Scoring

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	T	H	E
HOU	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	3	4	0
NEW	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	5	0

Team Matchup Analysis Tale of the Tape

Circled Game Matchup Projection

32%

Houston Astros

68%

New York Mets

Projected Score HOU 3.5 - NEW 5.7

Data Confidence High

Data Used 5 of 6 categories

Houston Astros has a better road record than New York Mets's home record.
New York Mets boasts a more productive batting lineup.
New York Mets has the lower team ERA and stronger pitching.

Houston Astros

STAT

New York Mets

50.0% Win % 45.7%

81-81 Overall Record 74-88

39-42 Home Record 36-45

42-39 Away Record 38-43

3.00 Runs / G 4.31

.169 Team BA .239

.582 Team OPS .705

5.50 Team ERA 4.15

1.50 WHIP 1.29

65 AB (At Bats) 5473

6 R (Runs) 699

11 H (Hits) 1307

0 2B (Doubles) 209

0 3B (Triples) 18

4 HR (Home Runs) 204

5 RBI (Runs Batted In) 668

23 TB (Total Bases) 2164

3 BB (Walks) 528

22 SO (Strikeouts) 1361

0 SB (Stolen Bases) 83

.169 AVG .239

.229 OBP .310

.354 SLG .395

.582 OPS .705

5.3 RC (Runs Created) 676.0

.042 BB/PA .086

0.14 BB/K 0.39

4.28 P/PA 3.93

4 XBH (Extra Base Hits) 431

71 PA (Plate Appearances) 6111

16.3 AB/HR 26.8

5.50 ERA 4.15

1.50 WHIP 1.29

18.0 IP (Innings) 1441.2

19 H (Hits Allowed) 1307

11 ER (Earned Runs) 665

2 HR (HR Allowed) 184

8 BB (Walks Allowed) 552

21 K (Strikeouts) 1450

10.5 K/9 (K Per 9) 9.1

0 W (Wins) 74

2 L (Losses) 88

0 SV (Saves) 31

0.958 FP (Fielding %) 0.983

3 E (Errors) 94

7 DP (Double Plays) 209

72 TC (Total Chances) 5664

54 PO (Putouts) 4325

15 A (Assists) 1245

3.8 RF (Range Factor) 34.8

Situational Context Environment

Venue Advantage Host New York Mets plays on familiar turf at Citi Field, Queens.

Conditions Conditions: Dome/Indoor

🎯

Circled Game Takeaway

Circled Game Analytical Outlook

Why Houston Astros Could Win

Houston Astros brings a Team ERA of 5.50 and Batting Average of .169 into the matchup.

Why New York Mets Could Win

New York Mets counters with a Team ERA of 4.15 and Batting Average of .239.

Deciding Factor

The deciding factor will be if New York Mets's superior pitching can dominate the matchup.

Game Details

Citi Field, Queens

Dome/Indoor

Attendance

28,848

Closing Odds

Line: NYM -105 | O/U: 7.5

Pitching & Leaders

Away Starter

Hunter Brown

Home Starter

Christian Scott

Consensus Pool

Circle Crowd Pick Meter

Closed Poll

Houston Astros (9.8%) New York Mets (90.2%)

Total Submissions: 50 circles

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