Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners | September 22, 2026

Final September 22, 2026 • T-Mobile Park, Seattle

Houston Astros 👑

78-79

Seattle Mariners

73-84

MLB PREVIEW • September 22, 2026 Featured Matchup

MLB Matchup: Houston Astros (78-79) travels to play Seattle Mariners (73-84) at T-Mobile Park, Seattle.

Houston Astros

Visiting Side

Record 78-79

Seattle Mariners

Home Side

Record 73-84

Scoring

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	T	H	E
HOU	1	0	3	0	0	1	0	2	0	7	12	0
SEA	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	1

Team Matchup Analysis Tale of the Tape

Circled Game Matchup Projection

15%

Houston Astros

85%

Seattle Mariners

Projected Score HOU 3.4 - SEA 5.6

Data Confidence High

Data Used 5 of 6 categories

Seattle Mariners has a stronger home record.
Seattle Mariners boasts a more productive batting lineup.
Seattle Mariners has the lower team ERA and stronger pitching.

Houston Astros

STAT

Seattle Mariners

50.0% Win % 46.9%

81-81 Overall Record 76-86

39-42 Home Record 43-38

42-39 Away Record 33-48

3.00 Runs / G 4.10

.169 Team BA .233

.582 Team OPS .693

5.50 Team ERA 4.20

1.50 WHIP 1.27

65 AB (At Bats) 5385

6 R (Runs) 664

11 H (Hits) 1253

0 2B (Doubles) 206

0 3B (Triples) 18

4 HR (Home Runs) 182

5 RBI (Runs Batted In) 638

23 TB (Total Bases) 2041

3 BB (Walks) 557

22 SO (Strikeouts) 1400

0 SB (Stolen Bases) 114

.169 AVG .233

.229 OBP .314

.354 SLG .379

.582 OPS .693

5.3 RC (Runs Created) 656.8

.042 BB/PA .091

0.14 BB/K 0.40

4.28 P/PA 3.91

4 XBH (Extra Base Hits) 406

71 PA (Plate Appearances) 6089

16.3 AB/HR 29.6

5.50 ERA 4.20

1.50 WHIP 1.27

18.0 IP (Innings) 1430.1

19 H (Hits Allowed) 1372

11 ER (Earned Runs) 668

2 HR (HR Allowed) 194

8 BB (Walks Allowed) 441

21 K (Strikeouts) 1392

10.5 K/9 (K Per 9) 8.8

0 W (Wins) 76

2 L (Losses) 86

0 SV (Saves) 35

0.958 FP (Fielding %) 0.985

3 E (Errors) 88

7 DP (Double Plays) 206

72 TC (Total Chances) 5711

54 PO (Putouts) 4291

15 A (Assists) 1332

3.8 RF (Range Factor) 35.4

Situational Context Environment

Venue Advantage Host Seattle Mariners plays on familiar turf at T-Mobile Park, Seattle.

Conditions Conditions: Dome/Indoor

🎯

Circled Game Takeaway

Circled Game Analytical Outlook

Why Houston Astros Could Win

Houston Astros brings a Team ERA of 5.50 and Batting Average of .169 into the matchup.

Why Seattle Mariners Could Win

Seattle Mariners counters with a Team ERA of 4.20 and Batting Average of .233.

Deciding Factor

The deciding factor will be if Seattle Mariners's superior pitching can dominate the matchup.

Game Details

T-Mobile Park, Seattle

Dome/Indoor

Attendance

33,382

Closing Odds

Line: SEA -132 | O/U: 7

Pitching & Leaders

Away Starter

Cristian Javier

Home Starter

Logan Gilbert

Consensus Pool

Circle Crowd Pick Meter

Closed Poll

Houston Astros (9.7%) Seattle Mariners (90.3%)

Total Submissions: 88 circles

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