Miami Marlins vs Arizona Diamondbacks | September 16, 2026

Final September 16, 2026 • Chase Field, Phoenix

Miami Marlins 👑

76-77

Arizona Diamondbacks

80-73

MLB PREVIEW • September 16, 2026 Featured Matchup

MLB Matchup: Miami Marlins (76-77) travels to play Arizona Diamondbacks (80-73) at Chase Field, Phoenix.

Miami Marlins

Visiting Side

Record 76-77

Arizona Diamondbacks

Home Side

Record 80-73

Scoring

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	T	H	E
MIA	0	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	10	0
ARI	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	3	10	1

Team Matchup Analysis Tale of the Tape

Circled Game Matchup Projection

38%

Miami Marlins

62%

Arizona Diamondbacks

Projected Score MIA 4.2 - ARI 4.8

Data Confidence High

Data Used 5 of 6 categories

Arizona Diamondbacks has a stronger overall season performance.
Arizona Diamondbacks has a stronger home record.
Miami Marlins boasts a more productive batting lineup.

Miami Marlins

STAT

Arizona Diamondbacks

49.4% Win % 53.1%

80-82 Overall Record 86-76

47-34 Home Record 45-36

33-48 Away Record 41-40

4.41 Runs / G 4.56

.249 Team BA .246

.727 Team OPS .720

4.09 Team ERA 4.18

1.28 WHIP 1.28

5411 AB (At Bats) 5451

715 R (Runs) 739

1347 H (Hits) 1341

242 2B (Doubles) 269

37 3B (Triples) 42

168 HR (Home Runs) 166

685 RBI (Runs Batted In) 706

2167 TB (Total Bases) 2192

552 BB (Walks) 541

1337 SO (Strikeouts) 1195

163 SB (Stolen Bases) 103

.249 AVG .246

.326 OBP .318

.400 SLG .402

.727 OPS .720

733.2 RC (Runs Created) 715.8

.090 BB/PA .088

0.41 BB/K 0.45

3.82 P/PA 3.93

447 XBH (Extra Base Hits) 477

6127 PA (Plate Appearances) 6148

32.2 AB/HR 32.8

4.09 ERA 4.18

1.28 WHIP 1.28

1428.1 IP (Innings) 1442.0

1266 H (Hits Allowed) 1368

649 ER (Earned Runs) 669

171 HR (HR Allowed) 186

561 BB (Walks Allowed) 483

1323 K (Strikeouts) 1140

8.3 K/9 (K Per 9) 7.1

80 W (Wins) 86

82 L (Losses) 76

35 SV (Saves) 38

0.982 FP (Fielding %) 0.989

101 E (Errors) 64

242 DP (Double Plays) 269

5743 TC (Total Chances) 5779

4285 PO (Putouts) 4326

1357 A (Assists) 1389

35.6 RF (Range Factor) 35.7

Situational Context Environment

Venue Advantage Host Arizona Diamondbacks plays on familiar turf at Chase Field, Phoenix.

Conditions Conditions: Dome/Indoor

🎯

Circled Game Takeaway

Circled Game Analytical Outlook

Why Miami Marlins Could Win

Miami Marlins brings a Team ERA of 4.09 and Batting Average of .249 into the matchup.

Why Arizona Diamondbacks Could Win

Arizona Diamondbacks counters with a Team ERA of 4.18 and Batting Average of .246.

Deciding Factor

The deciding factor will be if Miami Marlins's superior pitching can dominate the matchup.

Game Details

Chase Field, Phoenix

Dome/Indoor

Attendance

22,162

Closing Odds

Line: ARI -143 | O/U: 9

Pitching & Leaders

Away Starter

Ryan Gusto

Home Starter

Merrill Kelly

Consensus Pool

Circle Crowd Pick Meter

Closed Poll

Miami Marlins (49.9%) Arizona Diamondbacks (50.1%)

Total Submissions: 73 circles

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