Miami Marlins vs Tampa Bay Rays | May 16, 2026

Final/10 May 16, 2026 • Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg

Miami Marlins 👑

21-25

Tampa Bay Rays

29-15

MLB PREVIEW • May 16, 2026 Featured Matchup

MLB Matchup: Miami Marlins (21-25) travels to play Tampa Bay Rays (29-15) at Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg.

Miami Marlins

Visiting Side

Record 21-25

Tampa Bay Rays

Home Side

Record 29-15

Scoring

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	T	H	E
MIA	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	8	10	15	4
TAM	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	5	10	1

Team Matchup Analysis Tale of the Tape

Circled Game Matchup Projection

24%

Miami Marlins

76%

Tampa Bay Rays

Projected Score MIA 2.7 - TAM 4.2

Data Confidence High

Data Used 5 of 6 categories

Tampa Bay Rays has a stronger overall season performance.
Tampa Bay Rays has a stronger home record.
Miami Marlins boasts a more productive batting lineup.

Miami Marlins

STAT

Tampa Bay Rays

49.4% Win % 60.5%

80-82 Overall Record 98-64

47-34 Home Record 55-26

33-48 Away Record 43-38

4.41 Runs / G 3.33

.249 Team BA .208

.727 Team OPS .599

4.09 Team ERA 1.67

1.28 WHIP 0.70

5411 AB (At Bats) 96

715 R (Runs) 10

1347 H (Hits) 20

242 2B (Doubles) 4

37 3B (Triples) 0

168 HR (Home Runs) 3

685 RBI (Runs Batted In) 9

2167 TB (Total Bases) 33

552 BB (Walks) 5

1337 SO (Strikeouts) 18

163 SB (Stolen Bases) 3

.249 AVG .208

.326 OBP .255

.400 SLG .344

.727 OPS .599

733.2 RC (Runs Created) 8.7

.090 BB/PA .049

0.41 BB/K 0.28

3.82 P/PA 3.63

447 XBH (Extra Base Hits) 7

6127 PA (Plate Appearances) 103

32.2 AB/HR 32.0

4.09 ERA 1.67

1.28 WHIP 0.70

1428.1 IP (Innings) 27.0

1266 H (Hits Allowed) 12

649 ER (Earned Runs) 5

171 HR (HR Allowed) 2

561 BB (Walks Allowed) 7

1323 K (Strikeouts) 31

8.3 K/9 (K Per 9) 10.3

80 W (Wins) 3

82 L (Losses) 0

35 SV (Saves) 3

0.982 FP (Fielding %) 0.990

101 E (Errors) 1

242 DP (Double Plays) 2

5743 TC (Total Chances) 101

4285 PO (Putouts) 81

1357 A (Assists) 19

35.6 RF (Range Factor) 3.7

Situational Context Environment

Venue Advantage Host Tampa Bay Rays plays on familiar turf at Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg.

Conditions Conditions: Dome/Indoor

🎯

Circled Game Takeaway

Circled Game Analytical Outlook

Why Miami Marlins Could Win

Miami Marlins brings a Team ERA of 4.09 and Batting Average of .249 into the matchup.

Why Tampa Bay Rays Could Win

Tampa Bay Rays counters with a Team ERA of 1.67 and Batting Average of .208.

Deciding Factor

The deciding factor will be if Tampa Bay Rays's superior pitching can dominate the matchup.

Game Details

Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg

Dome/Indoor

Attendance

19,673

Closing Odds

Line: TB -136 | O/U: 8

Pitching & Leaders

Away Starter

Sandy Alcantara

Home Starter

Nick Martinez

Consensus Pool

Circle Crowd Pick Meter

Closed Poll

Miami Marlins (90.6%) Tampa Bay Rays (9.4%)

Total Submissions: 62 circles

Arena Chat

Live Fan Arena Guest Allowed

🔥

No messages yet in this arena.
Be the first to drop some hype!

⚡ Powered by GIPHY Developers

Join the Circle to drop hype and talk trash. Join Now

Social & News Hub

Sports Wire

Recent

Guardians, Rays make changes to AL Championship Series rosters ↗

Click to view coverage Read Full Story →

Sports Wire

Recent

Every team's odds to win the 2026 World Series: Brewers favored after Game 1 win ↗

Click to view coverage Read Full Story →

Sports Wire

Recent

2026 MLB playoffs: October MVP tracker ↗

Click to view coverage Read Full Story →

Sports Wire

Recent

MLB teams using ABS challenges more frequently in postseason ↗

Click to view coverage Read Full Story →

𝕏 Official Game Discussion

Live

Join thousands of fans tweeting highlights, stats, and real-time reactions for #MiamiMarlins vs #TampaBayRays.

Open Stream →

📸 Instagram Gameday Highlights

Stories

Catch warmups, sideline photos, and fan celebrations in the stadium.

View Photos →