New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves | July 5, 2026

Final July 5, 2026 • Truist Park, Atlanta

New York Mets 👑

37-53

Atlanta Braves

52-36

MLB PREVIEW • July 5, 2026 Featured Matchup

MLB Matchup: New York Mets (37-53) travels to play Atlanta Braves (52-36) at Truist Park, Atlanta.

New York Mets

Visiting Side

Record 37-53

Atlanta Braves

Home Side

Record 52-36

Scoring

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	T	H	E
NEW	1	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	10	12	3
ATL	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6	9	12	1

Team Matchup Analysis Tale of the Tape

Circled Game Matchup Projection

New York Mets

100%

Atlanta Braves

Projected Score NEW 3.7 - ATL 4.9

Data Confidence High

Data Used 5 of 6 categories

Atlanta Braves has a stronger overall season performance.
Atlanta Braves has a stronger home record.
Atlanta Braves boasts a more productive batting lineup.

New York Mets

STAT

Atlanta Braves

45.1% Win % 58.6%

60-73 Overall Record 78-55

31-36 Home Record 44-23

29-37 Away Record 34-32

4.14 Runs / G 4.69

.237 Team BA .248

.698 Team OPS .725

4.08 Team ERA 3.61

1.30 WHIP 1.25

4475 AB (At Bats) 4500

550 R (Runs) 624

1060 H (Hits) 1115

166 2B (Doubles) 214

17 3B (Triples) 9

163 HR (Home Runs) 170

526 RBI (Runs Batted In) 598

1749 TB (Total Bases) 1857

425 BB (Walks) 389

1127 SO (Strikeouts) 1077

71 SB (Stolen Bases) 70

.237 AVG .248

.307 OBP .312

.391 SLG .413

.698 OPS .725

539.9 RC (Runs Created) 591.7

.085 BB/PA .078

0.38 BB/K 0.36

3.93 P/PA 3.89

346 XBH (Extra Base Hits) 393

4993 PA (Plate Appearances) 4987

27.5 AB/HR 26.5

4.08 ERA 3.61

1.30 WHIP 1.25

1184.2 IP (Innings) 1180.0

1068 H (Hits Allowed) 1022

537 ER (Earned Runs) 473

146 HR (HR Allowed) 147

477 BB (Walks Allowed) 455

1198 K (Strikeouts) 1125

9.1 K/9 (K Per 9) 8.6

60 W (Wins) 78

73 L (Losses) 55

25 SV (Saves) 41

0.983 FP (Fielding %) 0.987

81 E (Errors) 60

166 DP (Double Plays) 214

4686 TC (Total Chances) 4682

3554 PO (Putouts) 3540

1051 A (Assists) 1082

35.0 RF (Range Factor) 35.3

Situational Context Environment

Venue Advantage Host Atlanta Braves plays on familiar turf at Truist Park, Atlanta.

Conditions Conditions: Dome/Indoor

🎯

Circled Game Takeaway

Circled Game Analytical Outlook

Why New York Mets Could Win

New York Mets brings a Team ERA of 4.08 and Batting Average of .237 into the matchup.

Why Atlanta Braves Could Win

Atlanta Braves counters with a Team ERA of 3.61 and Batting Average of .248.

Deciding Factor

The deciding factor will be if Atlanta Braves's superior pitching can dominate the matchup.

Game Details

Truist Park, Atlanta

Dome/Indoor

Attendance

28,621

Closing Odds

Line: ATL -122 | O/U: 8.5

Pitching & Leaders

Away Starter

Nolan McLean

Home Starter

Martin Perez

Consensus Pool

Circle Crowd Pick Meter

Closed Poll

New York Mets (49.8%) Atlanta Braves (50.2%)

Total Submissions: 0 circles

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