Philadelphia Phillies vs Detroit Tigers | July 11, 2026

Final July 11, 2026 • Comerica Park, Detroit

Philadelphia Phillies 👑

53-43

Detroit Tigers

44-51

MLB PREVIEW • July 11, 2026 Featured Matchup

MLB Matchup: Philadelphia Phillies (53-43) travels to play Detroit Tigers (44-51) at Comerica Park, Detroit.

Philadelphia Phillies

Visiting Side

Record 53-43

Detroit Tigers

Home Side

Record 44-51

Scoring

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	T	H	E
PHI	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	0	0	4	7	0
DET	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	2	10	1

Team Matchup Analysis Tale of the Tape

Circled Game Matchup Projection

45%

Philadelphia Phillies

55%

Detroit Tigers

Projected Score PHI 3.9 - DET 4.7

Data Confidence High

Data Used 5 of 6 categories

Philadelphia Phillies has a better road record than Detroit Tigers's home record.
Philadelphia Phillies boasts a more productive batting lineup.
Detroit Tigers has the lower team ERA and stronger pitching.

Philadelphia Phillies

STAT

Detroit Tigers

55.2% Win % 46.6%

74-60 Overall Record 62-71

38-30 Home Record 33-33

36-30 Away Record 29-38

4.54 Runs / G 4.45

.242 Team BA .240

.715 Team OPS .717

4.10 Team ERA 3.60

1.30 WHIP 1.22

4494 AB (At Bats) 4482

608 R (Runs) 592

1089 H (Hits) 1075

195 2B (Doubles) 203

21 3B (Triples) 27

161 HR (Home Runs) 155

589 RBI (Runs Batted In) 564

1809 TB (Total Bases) 1797

426 BB (Walks) 466

1124 SO (Strikeouts) 1134

95 SB (Stolen Bases) 38

.242 AVG .240

.312 OBP .316

.403 SLG .401

.715 OPS .717

580.3 RC (Runs Created) 578.7

.085 BB/PA .092

0.38 BB/K 0.41

3.89 P/PA 3.92

377 XBH (Extra Base Hits) 385

5033 PA (Plate Appearances) 5048

27.9 AB/HR 28.9

4.10 ERA 3.60

1.30 WHIP 1.22

1188.2 IP (Innings) 1176.1

1136 H (Hits Allowed) 1022

542 ER (Earned Runs) 470

160 HR (HR Allowed) 135

408 BB (Walks Allowed) 408

1321 K (Strikeouts) 1077

10.0 K/9 (K Per 9) 8.2

74 W (Wins) 62

60 L (Losses) 71

35 SV (Saves) 27

0.986 FP (Fielding %) 0.988

67 E (Errors) 59

195 DP (Double Plays) 203

4732 TC (Total Chances) 4778

3566 PO (Putouts) 3529

1099 A (Assists) 1190

35.3 RF (Range Factor) 36.1

Situational Context Environment

Venue Advantage Host Detroit Tigers plays on familiar turf at Comerica Park, Detroit.

Conditions Conditions: Dome/Indoor

🎯

Circled Game Takeaway

Circled Game Analytical Outlook

Why Philadelphia Phillies Could Win

Philadelphia Phillies brings a Team ERA of 4.10 and Batting Average of .242 into the matchup.

Why Detroit Tigers Could Win

Detroit Tigers counters with a Team ERA of 3.60 and Batting Average of .240.

Deciding Factor

The deciding factor will be if Detroit Tigers's superior pitching can dominate the matchup.

Game Details

Comerica Park, Detroit

Dome/Indoor

Attendance

33,705

Closing Odds

Line: PHI -148 | O/U: 7.5

Pitching & Leaders

Away Starter

Cristopher Sanchez

Home Starter

Casey Mize

Consensus Pool

Circle Crowd Pick Meter

Closed Poll

Philadelphia Phillies (49.4%) Detroit Tigers (50.6%)

Total Submissions: 0 circles

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