San Diego Padres vs Seattle Mariners | May 16, 2026

Final May 16, 2026 • T-Mobile Park, Seattle

San Diego Padres 👑

27-18

Seattle Mariners

22-25

MLB PREVIEW • May 16, 2026 Featured Matchup

MLB Matchup: San Diego Padres (27-18) travels to play Seattle Mariners (22-25) at T-Mobile Park, Seattle.

San Diego Padres

Visiting Side

Record 27-18

Seattle Mariners

Home Side

Record 22-25

Scoring

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	T	H	E
SAN	0	1	0	4	0	0	2	0	0	7	7	0
SEA	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	2	0	4	8	0

Team Matchup Analysis Tale of the Tape

Circled Game Matchup Projection

👑

56%

San Diego Padres

44%

Seattle Mariners

Projected Score SAN 4.4 - SEA 2.9

Data Confidence High

Data Used 5 of 6 categories

San Diego Padres has a stronger overall season performance.
Seattle Mariners has a stronger home record.
Seattle Mariners boasts a more productive batting lineup.

San Diego Padres

STAT

Seattle Mariners

56.2% Win % 46.9%

91-71 Overall Record 76-86

51-30 Home Record 43-38

40-41 Away Record 33-48

3.67 Runs / G 4.10

.230 Team BA .233

.651 Team OPS .693

2.22 Team ERA 4.20

1.22 WHIP 1.27

191 AB (At Bats) 5385

22 R (Runs) 664

44 H (Hits) 1253

4 2B (Doubles) 206

0 3B (Triples) 18

6 HR (Home Runs) 182

19 RBI (Runs Batted In) 638

66 TB (Total Bases) 2041

18 BB (Walks) 557

45 SO (Strikeouts) 1400

4 SB (Stolen Bases) 114

.230 AVG .233

.305 OBP .314

.346 SLG .379

.651 OPS .693

19.4 RC (Runs Created) 656.8

.084 BB/PA .091

0.40 BB/K 0.40

3.92 P/PA 3.91

10 XBH (Extra Base Hits) 406

214 PA (Plate Appearances) 6089

31.8 AB/HR 29.6

2.22 ERA 4.20

1.22 WHIP 1.27

52.2 IP (Innings) 1430.1

41 H (Hits Allowed) 1372

13 ER (Earned Runs) 668

3 HR (HR Allowed) 194

23 BB (Walks Allowed) 441

45 K (Strikeouts) 1392

7.7 K/9 (K Per 9) 8.8

3 W (Wins) 76

3 L (Losses) 86

2 SV (Saves) 35

0.981 FP (Fielding %) 0.985

4 E (Errors) 88

11 DP (Double Plays) 206

211 TC (Total Chances) 5711

158 PO (Putouts) 4291

49 A (Assists) 1332

3.9 RF (Range Factor) 35.4

Situational Context Environment

Venue Advantage Host Seattle Mariners plays on familiar turf at T-Mobile Park, Seattle.

Conditions Conditions: Dome/Indoor

🎯

Circled Game Takeaway

Circled Game Analytical Outlook

Why San Diego Padres Could Win

San Diego Padres brings a Team ERA of 2.22 and Batting Average of .230 into the matchup.

Why Seattle Mariners Could Win

Seattle Mariners counters with a Team ERA of 4.20 and Batting Average of .233.

Deciding Factor

The deciding factor will be if San Diego Padres's superior pitching can dominate the matchup.

Game Details

T-Mobile Park, Seattle

Dome/Indoor

Attendance

44,207

Closing Odds

Line: SEA -175 | O/U: 7

Pitching & Leaders

Away Starter

Walker Buehler

Home Starter

Logan Gilbert

Consensus Pool

Circle Crowd Pick Meter

Closed Poll

San Diego Padres (9.9%) Seattle Mariners (90.1%)

Total Submissions: 0 circles

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