Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox | July 17, 2026

Final July 17, 2026 • Fenway Park, Boston

Tampa Bay Rays

56-39

👑 Boston Red Sox

47-48

MLB PREVIEW • July 17, 2026 Featured Matchup

MLB Matchup: Tampa Bay Rays (56-39) travels to play Boston Red Sox (47-48) at Fenway Park, Boston.

Tampa Bay Rays

Visiting Side

Record 56-39

Boston Red Sox

Home Side

Record 47-48

Scoring

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	T	H	E
TAM	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1
BOS	0	2	0	1	0	6	1	0	~	10	15	0

Team Matchup Analysis Tale of the Tape

Circled Game Matchup Projection

56%

Tampa Bay Rays

44%

Boston Red Sox

Projected Score TAM 4.4 - BOS 4

Data Confidence High

Data Used 5 of 6 categories

Tampa Bay Rays has a better road record than Boston Red Sox's home record.
Boston Red Sox is more reliable defensively.

Tampa Bay Rays

STAT

Boston Red Sox

59.4% Win % 54.9%

79-54 Overall Record 73-60

43-23 Home Record 34-32

36-31 Away Record 39-28

4.47 Runs / G 4.51

.260 Team BA .250

.731 Team OPS .729

3.78 Team ERA 3.47

1.15 WHIP 1.22

4461 AB (At Bats) 4461

595 R (Runs) 600

1159 H (Hits) 1115

188 2B (Doubles) 241

20 3B (Triples) 22

136 HR (Home Runs) 136

566 RBI (Runs Batted In) 573

1795 TB (Total Bases) 1808

429 BB (Walks) 428

930 SO (Strikeouts) 1071

128 SB (Stolen Bases) 97

.260 AVG .250

.329 OBP .324

.402 SLG .405

.731 OPS .729

599.0 RC (Runs Created) 599.0

.086 BB/PA .085

0.46 BB/K 0.40

3.78 P/PA 3.83

344 XBH (Extra Base Hits) 399

5016 PA (Plate Appearances) 5045

32.8 AB/HR 32.8

3.78 ERA 3.47

1.15 WHIP 1.22

1186.0 IP (Innings) 1184.1

1031 H (Hits Allowed) 1067

498 ER (Earned Runs) 457

168 HR (HR Allowed) 127

330 BB (Walks Allowed) 382

1086 K (Strikeouts) 1139

8.2 K/9 (K Per 9) 8.7

79 W (Wins) 73

54 L (Losses) 60

53 SV (Saves) 37

0.983 FP (Fielding %) 0.985

79 E (Errors) 72

188 DP (Double Plays) 241

4681 TC (Total Chances) 4783

3558 PO (Putouts) 3553

1044 A (Assists) 1158

34.9 RF (Range Factor) 35.8

Situational Context Environment

Venue Advantage Host Boston Red Sox plays on familiar turf at Fenway Park, Boston.

Conditions Conditions: Dome/Indoor

🎯

Circled Game Takeaway

Circled Game Analytical Outlook

Why Tampa Bay Rays Could Win

Tampa Bay Rays brings a Team ERA of 3.78 and Batting Average of .260 into the matchup.

Why Boston Red Sox Could Win

Boston Red Sox counters with a Team ERA of 3.47 and Batting Average of .250.

Deciding Factor

The deciding factor will be if Boston Red Sox's superior pitching can dominate the matchup.

Game Details

Fenway Park, Boston

Dome/Indoor

Attendance

36,774

Closing Odds

Line: BOS -119 | O/U: 8.5

Pitching & Leaders

Away Starter

Griffin Jax

Home Starter

Jake Bennett

Consensus Pool

Circle Crowd Pick Meter

Closed Poll

Tampa Bay Rays (49.4%) Boston Red Sox (50.6%)

Total Submissions: 0 circles

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