Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox | June 16, 2026

Final June 16, 2026 • Fenway Park, Boston

Toronto Blue Jays 👑

35-38

Boston Red Sox

29-41

MLB PREVIEW • June 16, 2026 Featured Matchup

MLB Matchup: Toronto Blue Jays (35-38) travels to play Boston Red Sox (29-41) at Fenway Park, Boston.

Toronto Blue Jays

Visiting Side

Record 35-38

Boston Red Sox

Home Side

Record 29-41

Scoring

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	T	H	E
TOR	0	0	1	0	2	1	0	0	2	6	7	0
BOS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	8	0

Team Matchup Analysis Tale of the Tape

Circled Game Matchup Projection

Toronto Blue Jays

100%

Boston Red Sox

Projected Score TOR 3.5 - BOS 4.8

Data Confidence High

Data Used 5 of 6 categories

Boston Red Sox has a stronger overall season performance.
Boston Red Sox has a stronger home record.
Boston Red Sox boasts a more productive batting lineup.

Toronto Blue Jays

STAT

Boston Red Sox

48.5% Win % 54.9%

65-69 Overall Record 73-60

34-34 Home Record 34-32

31-35 Away Record 39-28

3.94 Runs / G 4.55

.246 Team BA .251

.686 Team OPS .731

3.98 Team ERA 3.48

1.31 WHIP 1.22

4487 AB (At Bats) 4430

524 R (Runs) 600

1102 H (Hits) 1110

213 2B (Doubles) 241

8 3B (Triples) 22

124 HR (Home Runs) 136

501 RBI (Runs Batted In) 573

1703 TB (Total Bases) 1803

364 BB (Walks) 425

968 SO (Strikeouts) 1067

65 SB (Stolen Bases) 97

.246 AVG .251

.306 OBP .324

.380 SLG .407

.686 OPS .731

524.7 RC (Runs Created) 597.9

.073 BB/PA .085

0.38 BB/K 0.40

3.80 P/PA 3.83

345 XBH (Extra Base Hits) 399

4965 PA (Plate Appearances) 5009

36.2 AB/HR 32.6

3.98 ERA 3.48

1.31 WHIP 1.22

1183.1 IP (Innings) 1176.1

1061 H (Hits Allowed) 1057

523 ER (Earned Runs) 455

136 HR (HR Allowed) 127

492 BB (Walks Allowed) 379

1159 K (Strikeouts) 1131

8.8 K/9 (K Per 9) 8.7

64 W (Wins) 73

69 L (Losses) 59

44 SV (Saves) 37

0.983 FP (Fielding %) 0.986

80 E (Errors) 68

213 DP (Double Plays) 241

4761 TC (Total Chances) 4750

3550 PO (Putouts) 3529

1131 A (Assists) 1153

35.6 RF (Range Factor) 35.8

Situational Context Environment

Venue Advantage Host Boston Red Sox plays on familiar turf at Fenway Park, Boston.

Conditions Conditions: Dome/Indoor

🎯

Circled Game Takeaway

Circled Game Analytical Outlook

Why Toronto Blue Jays Could Win

Toronto Blue Jays brings a Team ERA of 3.98 and Batting Average of .246 into the matchup.

Why Boston Red Sox Could Win

Boston Red Sox counters with a Team ERA of 3.48 and Batting Average of .251.

Deciding Factor

The deciding factor will be if Boston Red Sox's superior pitching can dominate the matchup.

Game Details

Fenway Park, Boston

Dome/Indoor

Attendance

32,392

Closing Odds

Line: TOR -120 | O/U: 7.5

Pitching & Leaders

Away Starter

Dylan Cease

Home Starter

Payton Tolle

Consensus Pool

Circle Crowd Pick Meter

Closed Poll

Toronto Blue Jays (49.9%) Boston Red Sox (50.1%)

Total Submissions: 0 circles

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